Tuesday, December 11, 2012

CRAZIER THAN A RUN OVER DOG

The Redneck 7 Day says it all.  This weather is crazier than a run over dog.  Every day the forecast models are changing.  Luckily I've now found a great site to look at all 3 major weather guidance systems and their many forecast models for wind, moisture, speed, etc...  I'm not going to mention the name yet, might get a sponsor later. :-) So here's my opinion of the next few days....


Who the Hell knows???

These maps are updated a few times a day, and every time they do, they change.  This  fu@$*!@g  cold air sometimes doesn't show up on a lot of the forecast maps until its closer to us, and if it does show up, it changes everyday.  I have lowered my 98% chance for snow in the next few days to a 85%, only because at the last minute something can always change.  We are facing very active weather in the next few days, ups and downs, i can't really say for sure on anything until the day before or day it happens right now.  All the local guys are having the same issue.  Have you noticed how much their 7 days change lately?  I guess I'll take a stab at it though.

Thursday into Friday  the cold air moves back up north just slightly.  We will have some average high 50s during the day and 30s at night.  Then Saturday I believe the moisture will set back in ahead of the cold air bringing in some nasty cold rain into Sunday.  Some black ice might be possible over night, if the temps get colder like I expect.  We might have highs in the low 50s on Sunday, but I will keep the forecast a little higher for now.  Monday is going to be a very dull and ugly day, cold temps with maybe a little drizzle like rain into the night hours, then early Tuesday morning i suspect a huge amount of unstable air (crazy air) to be over top of us.  If this air comes right as the moisture and cold air set in, we could have a dusting of snow and some pretty snow showers Tuesday in the evening hours..  If the moisture comes a few hours earlier or later, i believe we could have a few heavy nasty rain showers and a few sleet showers.  Either way, i believe something frozen is coming our way soon. Into Wednesday i believe the cold air will remain, longer than it did this week, with some gusty north winds and below average temps, but with the sun peaking through right before sundown.  Looking ahead, I'm tracking another area of unstable air and cold moisture coming our way closer to the weekend before Christmas, maybe not a white Christmas, but possibly a little snow on the ground for Christmas Eve???










This map shows the unstable air i was mentioning for next Tuesday.

Expect a more long range forecast after the 15th, NOAA will publish its long range models at that time.
I'm expecting January to be much colder than this month, we will see.  I will be updating you on Facebook as the maps change.  Keep an eye on the Redneck 7 Day for your complete extended week forecast.  Redneck 7 Day is updated every night around 10:30 or so.

Stay tuned...

Laura



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