Tuesday, December 4, 2012

THE COLD IS COMING!!!

Drum role please.......its coming!!

OK, within the last 24 hours a lot of different forecast models have been circulating the internet.  All forecasters are trying to predict this massive arctic trough entering the US. The arctic air we have been tracking is on its way sooner than later.

First thing First.... I am about 90% sure we will have severe weather this weekend or early next week.  The cold air trough i was mentioning before, will be entering the lower 48 states starting this week.  Its still too far out to tell how far south and east it will go and when exactly it will meet us.  Remember in my last blog post I talked about timing?  Yes timing is everything going into this upcoming weekend and next week.  Its because of this timing that many forecasters and meteorologist are saying "stay tuned for changing weather over the next week"

"The threat of severe weather for the southeast is shifting into Sunday night into Monday morning.  Something we are keeping a close eye on....There will be more changes on the strength and location of the center of the developing storm with time.  Stay tuned as the threat becomes more clear over the coming days."

  Brad Travis
  Chief Meteorologist
  WAFF Storm Team

I really can't predict this upcoming week.  But I think, based upon my research  that we will have severe weather Sunday night into Monday with a big drop in temps on Tuesday   In other words i think this front will not give us chances for flurries  but will give us a decent drop in temps and cold rain almost all week next week.  But, i do believe our snow chances are in the next 10-15 days.

The Canada arctic air trough is beginning its descend south.  I think that this weekend it will begin its first real ridge (wave) effect dipping into the mid US and shooting back up when it hits Texas and going straight for the north east.  Just behind us and above us.  But here's the kicker... Based on my research i think the snow will reach as far mid south as South New Mexico by Tuesday.  Which means....although the timing of the system and the cold air isn't right this time, it will be when we get another storm system in a week or so.  As that cold air moves from New Mexico East, it will be right smack on top of us.

Its just really too early to tell what will happen a week from now.  Although... 2 local 10pm weather forecast have lowered the Temp for next Tuesday more than 5 degrees since the 5pm news.  Hmmmmm????

Stay tuned for more updates as we get closer to the weekend. But please be prepared for severe weather this weekend.  I believe that is a definite!

On a personal note...
I'd like to wish a very HAPPY BIRTHDAY to my mother.  I love you Mom!

Laura




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