I'm not a professional, just a goofy down home redneck weather nerd! Studying the weather is my hobby, informing you without all the big words...my pleasure!!!
Monday, December 3, 2012
November 19th Facebook Post
UPDATED WINTER OUTLOOK 11.19.12...DRYER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST FOR THE WEST, COLDER AND SNOWIER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST AND NORTHEAST.
Ok everyone, i know i talk about the winter forecast a lot, i know i have a lot of wishful thinking when it comes to snow, but today's updated forecast, actually has me a bit worried. As we get closer to December the forecast is giving us a stronger possibility of not just snow, but snow storms like the big one in January of 2011. But not just one big storm, a round of several storms as far south as B-ham. We in the TNN Valley are expected to have at least a 2 degree percentage of below normal temps for December-February as well. I love it when it snows, but im asking all my family and friends to be prepared, have candles, bottled water, and even a gas heater or Coleman stove. If its just snow and not ice, then we shouldn't have power issues, but i suspect a few ice storms and a few snow storms through the next 3 months. I know our weather at this moment looks good for the next week or so, but if my research is correct, we could have our first sight of snow within the next 3-4 weeks. Now, keep in mind that this is my interpretation of the forecast, im not a meteorologist (although im starting to think i should go to school to be one) but i have been researching the NAO pattern since July of this year, and so far, all the meteorologist and weather bloggers have re-affirmed my predictions. I could be wrong, and we might not have any snow, but so far as we get closer and closer to this season, the forecast calls for more and more possibility of these snow chances. Even the farmers almanac has changed their long rang forecast to include our first snow the week before and week of Christmas. Now, before we get the snow, we will probably have a good round of cold storms, windy and cold rain, maybe even a few thunderstorms or possible tornado before the end of the year. You might think, our ground isn't' cold enough to support the snow, your wrong. As you may have noticed, last month we had several weeks of below average temps. This month our temps have been normal, but with periods of below average temps. Which means the ground is cold enough. Also if we have the cold air predicted by the experts, then any storm system that we get will drop the ground degrees by a lot. I apologize for the long novel, but to sum things up. Please be prepared for winter because im 98% sure its gonna be a cold, stormy, and snowy one. More updates to come.
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